History tells us we’re in for a strong bull market with a hard landing By
While the United States Federal Reserve decided to hold interest rates at its November meeting, they remain at their highest level since well before the global financial crisis (GFC) of 2008-09. The Federal Funds rate stands at 5.25-5.5%, similar to the United Kingdom’s 5.25%, while in the European Union it is at a record high of 4%.
This is being driven by high inflation, which remains sticky throughout the developed Western world. It is so sticky that some, including Citadel’s Ken Griffin, are predicting it will hang around for a decade or more. As such, central banks are now musing on higher rates that may last longer.
Lucas Kiely is the chief investment officer for Yield App, where he oversees investment portfolio allocations and leads the expansion of a diversified investment product range. He was previously the chief investment officer at Diginex Asset Management, and a senior trader and managing director at Credit Suisse in Hong Kong, where he managed QIS and Structured Derivatives trading. He was also the head of exotic derivatives at UBS in Australia.
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