History Suggests Bull Steepening Cycles Are Bearish for Stocks
From Investing.com: 2024-09-04 06:15:00
The article discusses the implications of a bull steepening yield curve on economic growth and Fed policy. It also analyzes stock performance during these yield curve shifts and emphasizes the importance of risk management during bear markets to limit losses. The history of bull steepening cycles is examined, highlighting their negative impact on most stocks. Current market conditions suggest a potential recession, with Treasury bonds providing positive returns during a bull steepening. Analysis of stock returns during previous bull steepening periods reveals gold, gold miners, and lower beta sectors as top performers. However, past performance may not predict future outcomes.
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