From Financial Modeling Prep: 2025-03-12 06:19:30

J.P. Morgan’s Chief Global Economist raises U.S. recession probability to 40% due to Trump’s tariffs and economic concerns.

Recession Probability
– Current risk estimate: 40%
– Potential risk: Could exceed 50% with April tariffs.

GDP Growth Forecasts
– J.P. Morgan: 2%
– Goldman Sachs: 1.7%
– Morgan Stanley: 1.5%

Market Sentiment
– Stock market selloffs reflect investor worries.
– Further instability may harm investor confidence.

Investment Implications
Investors advised to focus on resilience and stability amidst rising risks and potential tariffs. Defensive stocks, fixed income investments, and diversification strategies recommended for protection.



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