Alphabet is set to release earnings, with historical data showing a 55% chance of positive return.

From Nasdaq: 2025-04-22 22:04:00

Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG) is set to release its earnings report on April 24, 2025, with a market cap of $1.9 trillion and $350 billion in revenue over the past year. Consensus estimates expect an EPS of $2.03 on sales of $89.2 billion, showing growth from the previous year’s $80.5 billion in sales and $1.89 EPS.

Historical data reveals that in 11 of the last 20 earnings announcements, Google’s stock saw a median positive one-day return of 5.6%, with a maximum positive jump of 10%. Traders can use this information to make informed decisions before the earnings report is released.

Understanding the correlation between immediate stock reactions after an earnings release and medium-term performance can help traders identify opportunities for positioning. While historical data offers insights, the actual market response to Google’s upcoming earnings will depend on how results compare to consensus expectations. The Trefis High-Quality portfolio offers an alternative for those seeking upside with lower volatility.

Analysis of Alphabet’s historical post-earnings returns over the last five years shows a 55% chance of a positive one-day return, dropping to 42% over the last three years. The median positive one-day return is 5.6%, while the median negative return is -5.0%. Further data on 5-day and 21-day post-earnings returns is presented in a table.

Understanding the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings can help traders make less risky decisions. By identifying pairs with the highest correlation, traders can position themselves for positive returns. Correlation data based on 5-year and 3-year history is available, showing the relationship between 1-day, 5-day, and 21-day returns.



Read more at Nasdaq: How Will Alphabet Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings?