From Yahoo Finance: 2025-05-10 12:15:00

Analysts caution that the old adage “sell in May and go away” may not hold true this year due to trade war, tax policy, and debt ceiling risks. Seasonality is harder to predict in the current uncertain policy environment. April saw the S&P 500 fall amid tariff escalations, challenging typical seasonal trends. The “sell in May” window may bring surprises amid ongoing geopolitical strife and trade war uncertainties. The market remains unpredictable, with potential positive catalysts like trade deals and pro-growth policies. Recession risks and caution from commentators suggest selling into rallies may be wise this year. Recent years have seen better stock performance between May and October, with a potential ultra-bullish market signal triggering hope for gains. Data shows buying in May has been strong in recent years, especially in postelection years.



Read more at Yahoo Finance: Sell in May and go away? Historic volatility is crushing investors’ favorite seasonal indicators.