FedEx will report earnings with mixed reactions in the past, historical data available for analysis.

From Nasdaq: 2025-06-23 00:05:00

FedEx will report fiscal Q4 2025 earnings on June 24. Stock reactions to earnings have been mixed in the past five years, with 50% positive one-day returns and 50% negative, showing a median gain of 6.6% and a median loss of 4.8% respectively.

Analysts predict FedEx will report earnings of $5.86 per share on sales of $21.8 billion for Q4 2025. The company has a market cap of $54 billion, generated $88 billion in revenue in the last 12 months, with operating profits of $6.0 billion and net income of $3.9 billion.

For investors seeking lower volatility than individual stocks, the Trefis High Quality portfolio has outperformed the S&P 500 with returns exceeding 91% since inception. Understanding historical patterns can help traders position themselves before and after earnings releases.

Observations on FedEx’s post-earnings returns show a 50% chance of positive one-day returns over the last five years. The median positive return is 6.6% and the median negative return is -4.8%. Data on 5-day and 21-day returns post earnings is also available for analysis.

Understanding the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post earnings can help traders make informed decisions. For example, if 1-day and 5-day returns show the highest correlation, traders can position themselves accordingly for the next 5 days based on the 1-day post-earnings return.



Read more at Nasdaq: How Will FedEx Stock React To Its Upcoming Earnings?