Advance Auto Parts (AAP) Drops 7.8% on Moody's Downgrade

Advance Auto Parts (NYSE: AAP) shares dropped 7.8% today to $61.32 after Moody’s downgraded its corporate family rating to Ba3, citing elevated debt and ongoing pressure on the company’s financial profile.


🛠️ Key Reasons Behind the Drop:

  • Moody’s Downgrade (July 24):
    • New rating: Ba3 (from Ba2)
    • Outlook: Negative
    • Drivers:
      • High leverage: Debt/EBITDA expected to reach 6.1× in FY25
      • Poor interest coverage: EBITA/Interest at –1.4×
      • Free cash flow expected to remain negative (~$250M annually)
  • New Debt Announcement:
    • $1.5 billion in senior unsecured notes issued this week
    • Moody’s flagged added debt as a credit risk, potentially weakening recovery for current bondholders
    • Company also entered into a new asset-backed credit facility
  • Underlying Financial Strain:
    • Despite improving revenue trends, operational turnaround is ongoing
    • Moody’s warns limited flexibility to manage through future economic or sector downturns

📊 Stock Reaction

DatePriceChange
July 24$61.32–$5.19 (–7.80%)

Takeaway:
The market is reacting sharply to Moody’s downgrade and funding decisions. While AAP is attempting a turnaround, its rising leverage and weak coverage metrics have heightened investor caution.