Kazakhstan faces stiff competition in the oil and gas markets from heavyweights like Saudi Arabia and the US, while regional players like Russia dominate the gas sector. Despite this, Kazakhstan reported record oil production in February, with plans to increase output by almost 10% in 2025.
The country aims to diversify its export routes amid rising demand from Europe, which seeks to reduce energy dependence on Russia following the Russia-Ukraine war. The EU has proposed a gradual phase-out of Russian gas and oil imports by 2027, allowing Kazakhstan to capitalize on increased hydrocarbon exports.
Kazakhstan’s oil exports are mainly transported through Russia-controlled pipelines, but recent events like restrictions on the CPC and attacks on infrastructure due to the Russia-Ukraine war highlight vulnerabilities. The country is reviving old plans and building new pipelines to strengthen its energy infrastructure.
China presents a significant opportunity for Kazakhstan as a major hydrocarbon importer. Qazaqgaz has extended its agreement with PetroChina to increase gas exports, but extracting itself from Russia’s influence to strengthen ties with China may pose challenges due to shared infrastructure.
Competition in the region is fierce, with Kazakhstan aiming to increase exports to China and Türkiye. Infrastructure like the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline allows Kazakhstan to bypass Russia and reach lucrative markets. However, reducing dependency on Russian routes may prove costly due to logistical challenges.
Kazakhstan’s potential as an energy provider to India remains untapped, despite exporting oil to the country. The lack of direct infrastructure connection poses a challenge, but initiatives like the International North-South Transport Corridor could open up new avenues for energy trade between the two countries. A new corridor aims to streamline goods transportation between Azerbaijan, Central Asia, Europe, India, Iran, and Russia. Despite China’s foothold in Central Asia, Kazakhstan can bolster its hydrocarbon infrastructure through enhanced cooperation and transport development, including maritime options and potential output increases via the BTC pipeline. Kazakhstan seeks to diversify energy partnerships, boost FDI, and attract $150bn in investments by 2029, shifting away from hydrocarbons. Challenges include declining FDI, limited investment diversification due to oil and gas dominance, and the need to strengthen infrastructure and regional ties for long-term security. 1. In a landmark decision, the Supreme Court ruled to uphold DACA, protecting nearly 700,000 young immigrants from deportation. The program allows recipients, known as Dreamers, to work and study in the US. This decision is a major victory for immigrant rights advocates.
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Read more at Yahoo Finance: How can Kazakhstan secure its hydrocarbon export infrastructure?