Tesla's (TSLA) stock rises as analysts predict strong Q2 earnings

Tesla Inc. (TSLA) receives a price target of $355 from Cantor Fitzgerald, with Deutsche Bank maintaining a Buy rating and a $345 price target. Analysts are optimistic about Tesla’s low-cost electric vehicles. Tesla’s stock is on the rise ahead of its Q2 2025 earnings report, with an expected EPS of $0.40 on $22.42 billion in revenue.

📊 Analyst Ratings & Targets

  • Cantor Fitzgerald

    • Maintains Overweight rating

    • Price Target: $355  (Note: Cantor recently trimmed its target from $425 to $355 in April)

    • Highlights: Strong confidence in Tesla’s long-term roadmap, especially in autonomous driving and Robotaxi expansion. Sees optionality in AI and software margins.

  • Deutsche Bank

    • Reiterates Buy rating

    • Price Target: $345

    • Highlights: Praises Tesla’s cost discipline and execution in low-cost EVs. Points to improving fundamentals following better-than-feared Q2 deliveries.

  • Consensus View

    • Overall sentiment tilting bullish with most major firms maintaining Buy or Overweight.

    • Key catalysts include upcoming Full Self-Driving updates, cost leadership in EV manufacturing, and optionality from the energy business.


🔍 Why Analysts Are Positive

  • Low-Cost EV Strategy: Tesla’s push into next-gen affordable vehicles is seen as a structural growth driver.

  • Robotaxi & AI Optionality: While timelines remain fluid, Tesla’s autonomous ambitions continue to support higher valuation models.

  • Energy & Storage Expansion: Analysts are increasingly modeling upside from Megapack and Powerwall demand.

  • Execution in Q2: Vehicle deliveries (384K) came in above reduced expectations, easing fears ahead of the report.


📉 Risks Acknowledged by Analysts

  • Margins Under Pressure: Analysts remain cautious on ongoing pricing competition and Model 3/Y margin compression.

  • Global Competition: Tesla faces rising pressure from Chinese automakers and shifting EV incentives.

  • Macro Sensitivity: Analysts warn that high rates and economic uncertainty could impact demand in the back half of 2025.


📅 Earnings Snapshot

Metric Q2 2024 Q1 2025 Q2 2025 Est. YoY Change QoQ Change
Revenue $25.5B $19.3B $22.4B–$22.9B ▼ ~10% ▲ ~16%
Adjusted EPS $0.52 $0.27 $0.40–$0.43 ▼ ~20% ▲ ~50%
Vehicle Deliveries 444K 386K 384K (actual) ▼ ~13% Flat
  • Revenue is expected to rebound quarter-over-quarter but remain below last year’s levels.

  • EPS projected to improve sequentially, but still lower than Q2 2024.