Tesla's (TSLA) stock rises as analysts predict strong Q2 earnings
Tesla Inc. (TSLA) receives a price target of $355 from Cantor Fitzgerald, with Deutsche Bank maintaining a Buy rating and a $345 price target. Analysts are optimistic about Tesla’s low-cost electric vehicles. Tesla’s stock is on the rise ahead of its Q2 2025 earnings report, with an expected EPS of $0.40 on $22.42 billion in revenue.
📊 Analyst Ratings & Targets
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Cantor Fitzgerald
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Maintains Overweight rating
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Price Target: $355 (Note: Cantor recently trimmed its target from $425 to $355 in April)
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Highlights: Strong confidence in Tesla’s long-term roadmap, especially in autonomous driving and Robotaxi expansion. Sees optionality in AI and software margins.
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Deutsche Bank
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Reiterates Buy rating
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Price Target: $345
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Highlights: Praises Tesla’s cost discipline and execution in low-cost EVs. Points to improving fundamentals following better-than-feared Q2 deliveries.
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Consensus View
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Overall sentiment tilting bullish with most major firms maintaining Buy or Overweight.
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Key catalysts include upcoming Full Self-Driving updates, cost leadership in EV manufacturing, and optionality from the energy business.
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🔍 Why Analysts Are Positive
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Low-Cost EV Strategy: Tesla’s push into next-gen affordable vehicles is seen as a structural growth driver.
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Robotaxi & AI Optionality: While timelines remain fluid, Tesla’s autonomous ambitions continue to support higher valuation models.
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Energy & Storage Expansion: Analysts are increasingly modeling upside from Megapack and Powerwall demand.
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Execution in Q2: Vehicle deliveries (384K) came in above reduced expectations, easing fears ahead of the report.
📉 Risks Acknowledged by Analysts
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Margins Under Pressure: Analysts remain cautious on ongoing pricing competition and Model 3/Y margin compression.
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Global Competition: Tesla faces rising pressure from Chinese automakers and shifting EV incentives.
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Macro Sensitivity: Analysts warn that high rates and economic uncertainty could impact demand in the back half of 2025.
📅 Earnings Snapshot
Metric | Q2 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 Est. | YoY Change | QoQ Change |
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Revenue | $25.5B | $19.3B | $22.4B–$22.9B | ▼ ~10% | ▲ ~16% |
Adjusted EPS | $0.52 | $0.27 | $0.40–$0.43 | ▼ ~20% | ▲ ~50% |
Vehicle Deliveries | 444K | 386K | 384K (actual) | ▼ ~13% | Flat |
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Revenue is expected to rebound quarter-over-quarter but remain below last year’s levels.
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EPS projected to improve sequentially, but still lower than Q2 2024.