ON Semiconductor (ON) Stock Plunges 15% Despite Meeting Q2 Estimates

ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ: ON) stock plunged 15.58%, closing at $47.97, after reporting Q2 2025 results that met expectations but failed to reassure investors amid ongoing weakness in automotive demand and cautious guidance.


📊 Q2 2025 Financial Results (Quarter Ended July 4, 2025)

MetricResultYoY ChangeCommentary
Revenue$1.47 billion↓ ~15%Slightly above midpoint of guidance
Non-GAAP EPS$0.53↓ ~45%In line with analyst expectations
Non-GAAP Gross Margin37.6%↓ from 45.2%Margins compressed due to pricing pressure
Operating Margin17.3%↓ YoYEfficiency impacted by weaker volumes

🧭 Segment & Geographic Insights

  • Automotive: $733 million, down sequentially. Weakness in North America and Europe.
  • Industrial: Grew ~2% QoQ.
  • Silicon Carbide (SiC): Strong growth in China, offsetting some auto softness.
  • Smart Power for AI/Data Centers: Nearly doubled YoY demand.

🗣️ Management Commentary

CEO Hassane El-Khoury said customer behavior remains cautious, particularly in automotive and industrial end-markets. He noted that while SiC adoption in China showed strength, broad-based demand softness continues to weigh on results.

Q3 guidance:

  • Revenue: $1.465–$1.565 billion
  • EPS: $0.54–$0.64
    Both metrics were slightly ahead of consensus at the midpoint but failed to excite investors.

📉 Stock & Analyst Reaction

  • Stock Reaction: ON was the worst-performing S&P 500 stock on August 4, dropping 15.58%.
  • Valuation: Shares now trade at ~39x trailing earnings.
  • Analyst Views: JPMorgan raised its price target from $48 to $56 but kept a Neutral rating. Most analysts remain cautious amid macro headwinds and sector weakness.

🔎 Key Takeaways

  • Q2 results met expectations but highlighted shrinking margins and continued macro pressure.
  • Investors reacted sharply to the muted outlook, driving the stock to its lowest level since mid-2022.
  • ON faces structural challenges from EV demand uncertainty, pricing headwinds, and inventory digestion in auto/industrial sectors.