US public retirement funds are expected to outperform typical investment expectations, with analysts predicting returns of 11% to 12% for the fiscal year ending in June. Despite a dip in April due to President Trump’s tariff plans, pension returns are estimated to reach 16% to 17% in fiscal 2024.

S&P Global Ratings has increased its discount rate guideline to 6.5% from 6%, anticipating continued market rally fueled by productivity-enhancing technologies like AI and private equity returns. Analysts foresee market gains and improved funding for US public pension plans if technological growth persists and the Fed’s rates stabilize.

Read more at Yahoo Finance: US Pensions Will Ride Stock Rally to Reach 12% Gains, S&P Says