Investors anticipate accelerated monetary easing after a weak U.S. payrolls report showed the economy is slowing. While a quarter-point interest rate cut was expected, a half-percentage-point reduction is now possible, with more easing expected through 2025. Lower interest rates have supported stocks, but equities wavered after the report, with the S&P 500 down 0.5%. Investors turned to U.S. Treasuries, causing yields to drop, and the dollar index sank to a six-week low. Fed fund futures suggest a 90% probability of a 25 bp cut, with a 10% chance of a 50 bp reduction.
A 50 basis-point cut could boost the stock market and megacap growth stocks, while exacerbating volatility in the bond market. Concerns about inflation persist, as current rates exceed the Fed’s 2% target, and tariff uncertainty could lead to higher prices. Not all experts believe a hefty cut is imminent, as August job figures are often revised higher. More data, including next week’s Consumer Price Index report, will provide further insight into inflation trends amid slower economic growth.
Read more at Yahoo Finance: Investors look for more aggressive US rate cuts after weak jobs data
