Supermicro (SMCI) projects $36B revenue despite Q1 profit dip


Key Points

  • Revenue: $5.02 B (vs $5.94 B YoY) ▼ 15% YoY, ▼ 14% QoQ
  • GAAP EPS: $0.26 (vs $0.67 YoY) ▼ 61%
  • Non-GAAP EPS: $0.35 (vs $0.73 YoY) ▼ 52%
  • Gross Margin: 9.3% GAAP / 9.5% non-GAAP (vs 13.1% YoY)
  • Net Income: $168 M (vs $424 M YoY)
  • Operating Cash Flow: –$918 M (outflow)
  • Cash & Equivalents: $4.2 B
  • Total Debt: $4.8 B

Management Commentary

  • Charles Liang, CEO: “Powered by our DCBBS architecture, Supermicro is transforming into a leading AI and datacenter infrastructure company.
    With a rapidly expanding order book—including over $13 B in NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra orders—we expect at least $36 B in FY 2026 revenue.” Liang highlighted ongoing scaling in AI server capacity and broader deployment of liquid-cooled and rack-level AI solutions.

Outlook

  • Q2 FY26 (Dec 2025 quarter)
    • Revenue: $10.0 B – $11.0 B
    • GAAP EPS: $0.37 – $0.45
    • Non-GAAP EPS: $0.46 – $0.54
    • Assumes ~16% tax rate and ~680 M diluted shares
  • FY 2026 Full-Year Target:$36 B in revenue

Financial Summary

MetricQ1 FY26Q4 FY25Q1 FY25YoY Change
Revenue$5.02 B$5.76 B$5.94 B–15%
GAAP EPS$0.26$0.31$0.67–61%
Non-GAAP EPS$0.35$0.73–52%
Gross Margin9.3%9.5%13.1%–3.8 pts
Net Income$168 M$195 M$424 M–60%

AI-Related Highlights

  • $13 B+ Blackwell Ultra AI server backlog.
  • Expanding Direct Liquid Cooling (DLC-2) systems for high-density AI workloads.
  • Scaling customer base across hyperscale cloud, enterprise, and sovereign AI segments.
  • Positioning to capture next wave of AI datacenter infrastructure growth.

Key Takeaways

  • Profitability compressed on lower margins and cash outflow despite solid backlog.
  • Management projects sharp sequential rebound in Q2 on AI-server ramp.
  • Focus remains on AI infrastructure leadership via DCBBS and liquid-cooling platforms.
  • FY26 target implies >6× growth vs FY25 revenue base—ambitious but order-driven.