The Mexican Peso gained 22% against the U.S. Dollar in 2025 due to higher interest rates in Mexico and nearshoring by U.S. companies. Factors like interest rate differentials, economic confidence, high interest rates, foreign investment, tourism, and U.S. monetary policy continue to support the peso’s strength in 2026. Source: Barchart

Seasonal returns show the peso appreciates in January, with a 15-year average appreciation of 0.00055. Investors use seasonal trends to inform decisions, but it reflects past data and may not predict future performance. Caution advised when relying solely on seasonality for trading decisions. Source: Moore Research Center, Inc. (MRCI)

MRCI data shows a strong correlation between March Mexican Peso futures in recent years. The current pattern peaks in mid-February, leaving room for new market participants. The peso’s daily timeframe uptrend, coupled with seasonal trends and correlations, can inform trading strategies and risk management decisions.

The Mexican Peso is poised to maintain strength in 2026, supported by high interest rates, nearshoring, tourism, and political stability. While the technical and seasonal outlook is positive, traders must remain cautious of potential reversals due to global risk sentiment changes. Staying informed and adaptable is key when trading the peso. Source: Barchart

Traders seeking exposure to the Mexican Peso often opt for the USD/MXN forex pair or Mexican Peso futures on the CME. The peso’s fundamentals remain strong, with potential for continued gains in 2026. However, traders should remain vigilant for shifts in global risk sentiment that could impact the peso’s trajectory.

Read more at Yahoo Finance: Why the Mexican Peso Could Keep Crushing the U.S. Dollar in 2026