Microsoft Earnings Preview: Will Q3 Results Boost the Stock?

From Nasdaq: 2025-04-28 22:17:00

Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) is set to release earnings on April 30, 2025. Historical data shows a 55% chance of negative one-day return, with a median drop of -3.8% and a largest drop of -7.7%. Consensus estimates predict EPS of $3.21 and revenue of $68.43 billion, driven by Microsoft 365 products and Azure cloud offerings.

Understanding historical patterns can give traders an edge. Microsoft holds a market cap of $2.9 trillion, with $262 billion revenue in the past year. The upcoming earnings reaction will depend on results compared to consensus estimates. Consider alternative investments like the Trefis High Quality portfolio for lower volatility.

Historical data shows a 45% chance of positive one-day post-earnings return over five years, dropping to 36% over three years. Median positive return is 3.1% and negative return is -3.8%. Additional data on 5-day and 21-day post-earnings returns is available. Consider correlation between short-term and medium-term returns for trading decisions.

Correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings can inform trading decisions. Understanding peer performance can also influence stock reactions. Learn more about the Trefis RV strategy and consider the High Quality portfolio for smoother returns. Explore Trefis Market-Beating Portfolios for investment opportunities.



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