China’s Manufacturing Contracts as U.S. Tariffs Bi…

From Financial Modeling Prep: 2025-04-30 07:13:00

Export orders in China hit pandemic lows, with new orders at their lowest since December 2022. The PMI fell to 49.0, marking the first contraction in over a year, reflecting the weakest manufacturing activity since late 2022.

Analysts caution that negative sentiment may be exaggerating the impact of higher tariffs on Chinese goods. Despite fiscal support picking up, economist Zichun Huang forecasts just 3.5% GDP growth for China this year.

Beijing has increased stimulus pledges, but markets await concrete data on their impact. Investors can track upcoming stimulus-related releases and economic indicators through the Economic Calendar API to stay informed.

Near-term risks include U.S.-China tariff uncertainty, slower global trade momentum, and potential delays in fiscal stimulus execution. Monitoring further stimulus measures and trade negotiations will be crucial for China’s factory recovery in the second half of the year.



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