Wall Street braces for more bond market turmoil as Trump tax bill stirs up deficit concerns

From Yahoo Finance: 2025-05-25 09:30:00

The bond market is showing signs of concern as long-term Treasury yields surged this week due to fears over the growing US deficit and fiscal outlook tied to Trump’s tax bill. Investors worry about a potential “sell America” trade amid rising interest rates and inflation fueled by unsustainable debt levels.

The newly advanced tax bill, which cleared the House and heads to the Senate, proposes significant tax cuts but lacks substantial spending reductions. This could add $4 trillion to the national debt over the next decade, intensifying investor anxiety over the already fragile fiscal situation.

The bond market’s reaction to the legislation was swift, with the 30-year Treasury yield surging to 5.15%, its biggest move since 2023. Renewed fiscal concerns and weak Treasury auctions, along with fiscal turmoil in Japan, contributed to global fears about waning demand for US Treasurys.

Short-term yields have remained relatively stable with expectations of steady interest rates from the Fed, but longer-term yields have climbed sharply as investors seek compensation for mounting fiscal and policy uncertainties. Some experts warn of stagflation and deeper economic strain, urging against further fiscal risks.

Bond investors are increasingly uneasy about the growing US deficit and fiscal outlook tied to Trump’s tax bill, which lacks substantial spending cuts. The bond market’s swift reaction to the legislation, along with global fiscal concerns, has led to heightened fears of waning demand for US Treasurys and potential economic strain. 1. The stock market saw a significant increase today with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising by 300 points, reaching a new all-time high. Investors were encouraged by positive economic data and strong corporate earnings reports.

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