Summary: Adobe stock has historically dropped day after earnings, analysts project earnings of $4.97/share.

From Nasdaq: 2025-06-09 23:27:00

Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE) will report earnings on June 12, 2025. The stock has historically dropped the day after earnings, falling in 70% of instances over the past five years. Analysts project earnings of $4.97/share on sales of $5.8 billion, with a market cap of $180 billion and a subscription business driving growth.

Understanding historical earnings patterns can offer a trading advantage. Traders can consider pre-earnings positioning by analyzing probabilities before the release, or post-earnings positioning by adjusting their position based on correlation between immediate and medium-term returns after earnings are released.

Adobe’s revenue growth in generative AI has been slower than expected, but the subscription business is performing well. The company has a market capitalization of $180 billion, with $22 billion in revenue over the last twelve months. For lower volatility, consider the Trefis High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed the S&P 500 with over 91% returns since inception.

Historical data shows a 30% positive one-day post-earnings return for Adobe over the past five years, with a median of 3.9% for positive returns and -7.4% for negative returns. Understanding correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings can help traders make informed decisions for their positions.



Read more at Nasdaq: How To Trade Adobe Stock Ahead of Its Upcoming Earnings?