Cowen Maintains Buy Rating and $195 Price Target for Alphabet Ahead of Q2 Earnings

Key Takeaways

  • Cowen Upgrade: Maintained Buy rating, $195 price target.
  • Price Action: Closed at $176.62 (+1.30% on Jul 9); up ~9% since April earnings.
  • Technical Pivot: $173.79 (50% Fibonacci) is critical support.

Cowen & Co. Outlook

  • AI Push: Cowen sees generative-AI “Search AI Mode” driving deeper engagement.
  • Risks: EU antitrust probe (Digital Markets Act fines up to 10% of revenue) and U.S. ad-tech trial in August.
  • Partnerships: Samsung’s Galaxy Watch Ultra debuts with Google’s Gemini AI, underscoring hardware integration.

Recent Market Moves

  • Close: $176.62 (+$2.26, +1.30%) on Jul 9.
  • Since Q1: Shares up ~9% from April’s earnings, despite a 52-week peak of $207.05 on Feb 4.
  • Earnings Confirmed: Alphabet will report Q2 results after the bell on Wednesday, July 23.

Technical Analysis Highlights

  1. Moving Averages
    • Price sits above the 50-day ($168.60) and 200-day ($172.90) SMAs.
    • Golden Cross formed in early June.
  2. Fibonacci Retracements
    • 61.8%: $181.62 (first resistance)
    • 50.0%: $173.79 (key support/pivot)
    • 38.2%: $165.95 (secondary support)
  3. RSI & Volume
    • RSI at ~56 (neutral territory).
    • Rising volume on advances; lighter volume on pullbacks.
  4. Chart Patterns
    • Ascending trendline of higher lows since April.
    • Bullish flag consolidation broke out in early July.

What to Watch Next

  • Bullish Path: Hold above $173.79 → target $181.62, then $192.83.
  • Bearish Signal: Close below $173.79 on heavy volume → risk retest of $165.95.
  • Catalyst: Q2 earnings report on July 23 will set the near-term tone.

Alphabet’s mix of entrenched ad revenues, AI innovations and device partnerships underpins Cowen’s Buy call—positioning GOOGL for further upside.


Disclaimer: This report was generated with AI assistance and does not constitute investment advice.