Mastercard (MA) Stock Falls Despite Strong Q2 Results and Price Target Hikes
Mastercard delivered strong second-quarter results, beating Wall Street estimates on both revenue and earnings. The company reported solid growth in cross-border volumes and value-added services, prompting analysts to raise their price targets. Despite the upbeat results and guidance, shares closed lower on the day.
Financial Highlights (Q2 2025)
- Adjusted Revenue: $8.13 billion
- Adjusted EPS: $4.15
- Value-Added Services Revenue: +23% YoY (reported basis)
- Transaction Processing Volume: +19% YoY
- Cross-Border Volume: +18% YoY
Stock Performance
- August 1, 2025 Close: $559.89 (−1.16%)
Analyst Reactions and Price Target Updates
RBC Capital Markets
- Rating: Outperform
- New Price Target: $656
- Notes: Raised FY25 and FY26 revenue and EPS estimates, citing strong cross-border and switched transaction volumes.
JPMorgan
- Rating: Overweight
- New Price Target: $685
- Notes: Highlighted ~15% organic revenue growth and outperformance versus Visa. Cited stable cross-border activity and international strength.
Goldman Sachs
- Rating: Buy
- New Price Target: $688
- Notes: Cited stronger-than-expected cross-border e-commerce trends and growth in value-added services.
Forward Guidance
- Mastercard issued positive Q3 2025 guidance.
- Analysts revised EPS estimates through 2027, expecting strong operating leverage.
- Despite a slight slowdown in U.S. debit volume, international activity remains robust.