Kalshi’s market for “Tesla robotaxi released to public before Jan 1, 2026?” has seen a volume of 30,006 transactions in the last 24 hours. The current implied probability for “Before 2026” is 86%, unchanged from yesterday. If Tesla releases its robotaxi service before the specified date, the market resolves to Yes. Since opening on April 12, 2024, this market has had a total volume of 617,554 transactions, with 237,709 open interest positions and 21,060,850 contracts of overall liquidity. Among the top markets on Kalshi in the past 24 hours are 10 finance and politics markets.

Read more at Quiver Quantitative: Markets bet on whether Tesla’s robotaxi will be released to the public before Jan 1, 2026