A trader recently invested $21,770 in contracts predicting Bitcoin’s price will not reach $122,500 by Oct 3, 2025, on Kalshi’s prediction market. This trade is among the largest in the last day, with 138,988 contracts traded overall. Market rules state that if the average of 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks’ Bitcoin Real-Time Index before 7 PM EDT on Oct 3, 2025, is above $122,499.99, the market resolves to Yes. This prediction market serves as a crucial gauge of investor sentiment and market expectations for Bitcoin’s future, offering insights into price trajectory and risk assessment in a volatile asset class.

Read more at Quiver Quantitative LLC: A Trader Just Bet $21,770 Against Bitcoin Being $122,500 or Above by October 3, 2025