COLUMN-Parallel universes? ‘Magnificent 7’ prone to China risks :Mike Dolan

From NASDAQ:

An article discusses the market risks faced by the US in light of the ongoing Chinese economic crisis. While the US stock market has seen record highs, the article points to the dangers that the concentration of US equities in a handful of megacap tech stocks poses. As such, the Americans are vulnerable to any geopolitical tensions or market turbulences in China.

The Chinese stock market is continuing to plummet and this decline may have a great impact on the U.S. stock market. Meanwhile the U.S. stocks continue to soar and are contributing to that nation’s overall high stocks recording, this may be even more vulnerable to events occurring in Beijing than most would anticipate. The piece further sheds light on this.

Four of the seven major mega-cap stocks with a combined revenue exposure to China and Taiwan at almost 20%. This as well as investments in AI leaves them reliant on China’s semiconductor industry. This makes these companies vulnerable to market and geopolitical events. The article looks into exactly how these seven major companies are susceptible to a potential crisis in China.

The US megacap stocks are dominating the S&P 500’s market value, to the tune of 30%. However, GMO is sounding off alarms about the instability of these stocks, which are heavily exposed to China and may face severe consequences if a geopolitical event affects them. The piece provides a compelling analysis of these stocks and their relationship with China.

Semiconductor access is crucial for all seven major megacap stocks. They have significant connections with Taiwan, as well. With most of the stocks accounting for AI and having investments in China and Taiwan, this could put these stocks in a very uncomfortable position if a geopolitical event happened in China. The wealthy investments in these two countries could make external events very uncomfortable. The article stresses the significance of these investments and the impact of geopolitical events.

Geopolitical tension may significantly impact the seven major megacap companies’ revenue, as they derive nearly twenty percent of their earnings from China and Taiwan. This makes them particularly susceptible to the social situation and the economic tensions between China and Taiwan. The piece discusses the significance and potential impact of such vulnerabilities.

Last week’s talk by the top politicians of China ahead of the Lunar New Year doesn’t guarantee to be calming. There is much speculation about US policies on trade tariffs with China if a president is elected. Several people are concerned with the narrow positive trendline potential of the US equities market in the past year, which may be obstructed if any number of internal/external events occur. The article focuses on the possible negative effects on the economy of the U.S. and its relationship with China.

Investors may be hesitent of the 4% in China and Taiwan in MSCI’s all-country index, but that pales in comparison with the 17% of the top seven US stocks, the GMO chart shows. The article looks into whether US equities have a higher weight than other state equities on the market.

The piece reacts to the market indigestion over the past year, and the possible future impacts, while also considering the chances of a reversal in the market share of the megacap stocks, it illuminates how the market has been affected over the past year.



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