President Trump’s prediction of a massive S&P 500 rally is met with skepticism. FedWatch Advisors’ Ben Emons doubts the economy can support such gains. Trump’s optimistic outlook at Davos contrasts with market analysts who see the Dow Jones Industrial Average doubling as unlikely.
Emons warns that doubling the stock market would require a booming economy with higher GDP and interest rates. Despite a 4.4% GDP print for Q3, the 10-year Treasury yield’s rise to 4.24% poses challenges. If GDP remains high, the Federal Reserve may halt interest rate cuts, impacting borrowing costs.
The bond market’s focus on rising yields reflects economic growth. The competition for capital intensifies as GDP estimates reach 5.4%. Stock market performance, especially for growth stocks, faces challenges due to high-cost financing in a strong growth environment.
Market experts doubt Trump’s claims of a market doubling, citing the need for rare conditions of strong growth and low interest rates. The bond market’s attention to rising yields and economic growth signals potential challenges for stock market performance, particularly for growth stocks.
Francisco Velasquez, a Yahoo Finance reporter, discusses how skepticism surrounds Trump’s optimistic market predictions. The bond market’s focus on rising yields and economic growth highlights potential challenges for stock market performance, especially for growth stocks relying on low-cost financing. 1. The stock market saw a significant drop today, with the S&P 500 falling by 2.5% due to concerns over inflation and rising interest rates. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also plummeted by 800 points, marking its worst day since October. Investors are closely monitoring the situation for any signs of recovery.
2. In other news, the latest jobs report revealed a decrease in unemployment to 4.2%, the lowest since the start of the pandemic. The economy added 531,000 jobs in October, exceeding expectations and showing signs of a strong recovery. Analysts are optimistic about the future of the job market.
3. Climate activists are celebrating a major win as the United Nations Climate Change Conference in Glasgow resulted in over 100 countries pledging to reduce methane emissions by 30% by 2030. This commitment is seen as a crucial step in combating climate change and protecting the environment for future generations.
Read more at Yahoo Finance: Analysts say the stock market doubling is a pipe dream without a rate-spiking GDP boom
