US election impact on M&A expected, regardless of winner, with positive market conditions

From Investing.com: 2024-07-13 04:31:02

The upcoming US election is expected to impact the M&A landscape, but Morgan Stanley predicts a robust cycle regardless of the winner. Analysts believe a Democrat win could support the economy, while a Republican win may favor a more lenient regulator. Despite uncertainties, M&A activity is rebounding from a 30-year low in 2023, with 2024 volumes projected to rise due to positive market conditions.

Historical data shows mixed impacts of presidential elections on M&A announcements, with results varying widely. Analysts suggest that macroeconomic factors have a greater influence on M&A cycles than election outcomes. A Trump win could slightly ease anti-trust enforcement, potentially boosting large-cap M&A activity. However, similarities between a Trump and Biden administration may minimize differences in anti-trust enforcement.



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