Google (GOOGL) shares drop on SearchGPT announcement.

July 25, 2024

OpenAI, announced the introduction of its search engine, SearchGPT, on Thursday. This makes them a competitor to Google (GOOGL).

Following the announcement Google shares dropped closing at $167.28 down 3.1% for the day. Approximately 57.3% of Google’s revenue comes from search. In the second quarter of 2024, Google search revenue was reported at $48.5 billion, contributing to a total revenue of $84.7 billion for Alphabet Inc.

  1. Intuitive Search Experience:
    • Conversational Interface: SearchGPT allows users to ask questions in a conversational manner, similar to interacting with ChatGPT. This could enhance user experience by providing more relevant and context-aware results.
    • Refinement of Queries: The ability to refine searches through dialogue may lead to more accurate results, potentially attracting users who prefer a more interactive search experience.
  2. AI Technology:
    • Advanced Algorithms: Utilizing GPT-3 technology, SearchGPT may offer advanced natural language processing capabilities, enabling it to understand user intent better than traditional search engines.
    • Continuous Learning: AI models can improve over time through user interactions, potentially leading to more accurate and personalized search results.
  3. Focus on Accuracy and Relevance:
    • Source Attribution: The introduction of source attribution in SearchGPT aims to ensure that users receive accurate information, addressing a common concern with online search results.
    • User Trust: If SearchGPT can consistently provide reliable and relevant information, it may gain user trust, which is crucial for long-term adoption.

Challenges for SearchGPT:

  1. Market Dominance:
    • Established User Base: Google Search has a vast and loyal user base, making it challenging for new entrants to gain significant market share quickly.
    • Brand Recognition: Google is synonymous with online search, and overcoming this brand recognition will be a significant hurdle for SearchGPT.
  2. Ecosystem Integration:
    • Comprehensive Services: Google offers a wide range of services beyond search, including maps, email, and cloud storage, which are integrated into its search platform. Users may prefer the convenience of accessing multiple services from a single provider.
    • Advertising Revenue: Google’s search engine is a significant revenue driver through advertising. SearchGPT would need to develop a sustainable monetization strategy to compete effectively.
  3. User Habits:
    • Resistance to Change: Users may be resistant to switching from a familiar platform like Google Search to a new service, even if it offers innovative features.

Conclusion:

While SearchGPT has the potential to disrupt the search engine landscape by offering a more intuitive and AI-driven experience, it faces significant challenges in competing with Google’s established dominance and comprehensive ecosystem. The extent to which SearchGPT poses a threat will depend on its ability to attract users, provide reliable results, and develop a sustainable business model.

Overall, the competitive landscape in the search engine market is evolving, and innovations like SearchGPT could lead to increased competition, prompting Google to enhance its own offerings.